Clark Heins, on Apr 18 2008, 08:56 PM, said:
The title of this topic is "Comeback Wins". Apparently few people understand the meaning of what a comeback win is. A comeback win can only be achieved in two ways 1. The winning team nust be trailing the losing team entering the fourth quarter. 2. The winning team must fall behind at some point during the fourth quarter before rallying for the win.
TIES: If a game should end in a tie, it is simply a tie---it cannot be classified as a comeback win. If the team trailing at the end of three quarters should tie the game in the fourth quarter, but never lead before losing, the winning team cannot be credited with a comeback win. Under these circumstances, the winning team cannot even be credited with a "comeback" because they never trailed in the fourth quarter. The term "comeback" is a misnomer in these cases.
Previously, I had pointed out that both the Cowboys and the Patriots had padded the "comeback" totals of Roger Staubach and Tom Brady (also Drew Bledsoe) by combining legitimate comeback wins with games in which the losing team tied the game in the fourth quarter without ever leading the game at any point iin the fourth quarter. It appears that the Denver Broncos did exactly the same thing with John Elway and his record setting 47 "comebacks".
I happened to be looking at the HOF web-site under "Pro Football History". It lists all of the "record 47 fourth quarter come-from-behind comebacks" that Elway supposedly achieved. This material was provided to the HOF by the Broncos. Apparently, the statisticians at the HOF never questioned this material. Apparently, no one has ever questioned Elway's totals!
Well, I did. I knew that Elway had one tie game on his resume---against Green Bay in 1987. That, obviously, could not be classified as a comeback win. The rest of it astounded me. Eleven of the games were games in which the losing team rallied from behind in the fourth quarter to tie the Broncos before eventually losing. The Broncos were never behind at any time during the fourth quarter of these eleven games! Additionally, as the information clearly pointed out, Elway was injured and replaced by Gary Kubiak in the winning drive against the Seahawks on Dec. 20, 1985. Even though Elway was mostly responsible for the comeback win, Kubiak was the QB when the game was decided. Kubiak gets credit for the comeback win, not Elway.
What does this mean? John Elway had 34 comeback wins (12 in road games; 22 at home) during his career---not 47. That also means that the record for comeback wins belongs to Dan Marino who had 37---that is if the Dolphins didn't also pad his record. I don't think they did as they seemed specifically to separate legitimate comebacks (37) from games that were tied by the losing team in the fourth quarter, but in which the Dolphins were never behind (13).
To give you due credit, Clark, you have indeed defined what you mean when you say "comeback win." I'll even agree that to call a team a comeback when all that happened is the opponent tied the game is the height of silliness. That's not to say that the whole idea isn't silly, just that to include ties is doubly silly.
What is wrong with this idea? Well first of all, setting the beginning of the fourth quarter is an arbitrary starting point. Why is that better than the second half, the final twenty minutes, or the last ten? It isn't. The only thing choosing that point in the game has going for it is that you can take the break to go to the bathroom and stop by the kitchen to pick up another beer so you'll be ready to cheer the possible comeback.
An even more serious problem with the scheme is including any trailing -- by one, or two, or five points -- as a score that can spark a comeback. Come on! If your team trails by two points entering the fourth quarter, do you really think in terms of "comeback"? Comebacks are for when you're in deep trouble. If you're down by two early in the fourth quarter, the game is in the breach. And if you declare a potential comeback when trailing by two, suppose you kick a field goal and your opponent turns around and scored three unanswered touchdowns. Then he gets a comeback.
Obviously the silliest part of "comeback wins" is that you credit one man -- part of the offense -- with the comeback. Let's compare that with baseball's win-loss record for pitchers. A pitcher's job is to keep the other team from scoring; he's a defensive player. Naturally, the other team does end up scoring some runs most of the time, but if your pitcher gives up fewer runs than your offense gets, he'll get a win. According to that, any win-loss mark in football should go to whoever calls the defensive signals. Maybe that actually makes more sense than to credit the quarterback. After all the ability to score points is only partly due to the quarterback, but the ability to hold down an opponent's scoring is totally the job of the defense.
Unless we want to consider special teams.